Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:47 AM, 128 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 149,944 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 125,547 - 192,433). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	11:47 AM	2055	c(2.5% = 1787)	c(97.5% = 2349)
02	11:47 AM	3317	c(2.5% = 3031)	c(97.5% = 3987)
03	11:47 AM	1924	c(2.5% = 1554)	c(97.5% = 2557)
04	11:47 AM	1931	c(2.5% = 1518)	c(97.5% = 2681)
05	11:47 AM	4920	c(2.5% = 4549)	c(97.5% = 5850)
06	11:47 AM	1295	c(2.5% = 1076)	c(97.5% = 1725)
07	11:47 AM	1323	c(2.5% = 879)	c(97.5% = 2309)
08	11:47 AM	4619	c(2.5% = 4247)	c(97.5% = 5612)
09	11:47 AM	2224	c(2.5% = 1920)	c(97.5% = 2610)
10	11:47 AM	2778	c(2.5% = 2284)	c(97.5% = 3762)
11	11:47 AM	1230	c(2.5% = 949)	c(97.5% = 1749)
12	11:47 AM	2106	c(2.5% = 1697)	c(97.5% = 2887)
13	11:47 AM	1901	c(2.5% = 1506)	c(97.5% = 2642)
14	11:47 AM	831	c(2.5% = 707)	c(97.5% = 1080)
15	11:47 AM	2392	c(2.5% = 2183)	c(97.5% = 2882)
16	11:47 AM	1034	c(2.5% = 781)	c(97.5% = 1500)
17	11:47 AM	2320	c(2.5% = 1854)	c(97.5% = 3189)
18	11:47 AM	1992	c(2.5% = 1826)	c(97.5% = 2486)
19	11:47 AM	983	c(2.5% = 681)	c(97.5% = 1610)
20	11:47 AM	961	c(2.5% = 746)	c(97.5% = 1424)
21	11:47 AM	5417	c(2.5% = 4838)	c(97.5% = 6648)
22	11:47 AM	2950	c(2.5% = 2544)	c(97.5% = 3570)
23	11:47 AM	1786	c(2.5% = 1413)	c(97.5% = 2430)
24	11:47 AM	1501	c(2.5% = 1250)	c(97.5% = 2033)
25	11:47 AM	1483	c(2.5% = 1172)	c(97.5% = 1943)
26	11:47 AM	2081	c(2.5% = 1813)	c(97.5% = 2441)
27	11:47 AM	2690	c(2.5% = 2260)	c(97.5% = 3720)
28	11:47 AM	1100	c(2.5% = 830)	c(97.5% = 1602)
29	11:47 AM	1088	c(2.5% = 918)	c(97.5% = 1423)
30	11:47 AM	2150	c(2.5% = 1975)	c(97.5% = 2623)
31	11:47 AM	1825	c(2.5% = 1650)	c(97.5% = 2139)
32	11:47 AM	1824	c(2.5% = 1398)	c(97.5% = 2675)
33	11:47 AM	1546	c(2.5% = 1089)	c(97.5% = 2522)
34	11:47 AM	3976	c(2.5% = 3337)	c(97.5% = 5197)
35	11:47 AM	2719	c(2.5% = 2187)	c(97.5% = 3753)
36	11:47 AM	3220	c(2.5% = 2736)	c(97.5% = 4164)
37	11:47 AM	1179	c(2.5% = 885)	c(97.5% = 1751)
38	11:47 AM	1992	c(2.5% = 1714)	c(97.5% = 2527)
39	11:47 AM	3958	c(2.5% = 3533)	c(97.5% = 4681)
40	11:47 AM	4146	c(2.5% = 3391)	c(97.5% = 5722)
41	11:47 AM	1658	c(2.5% = 1279)	c(97.5% = 2204)
42	11:47 AM	2103	c(2.5% = 1596)	c(97.5% = 3173)
43	11:47 AM	1647	c(2.5% = 1188)	c(97.5% = 2618)
44	11:47 AM	1299	c(2.5% = 1023)	c(97.5% = 1799)
45	11:47 AM	1869	c(2.5% = 1494)	c(97.5% = 2430)
46	11:47 AM	2461	c(2.5% = 2194)	c(97.5% = 3050)
47	11:47 AM	783	c(2.5% = 645)	c(97.5% = 1088)
48	11:47 AM	1852	c(2.5% = 1528)	c(97.5% = 2478)
49	11:47 AM	2353	c(2.5% = 1872)	c(97.5% = 3313)
50	11:47 AM	3235	c(2.5% = 2733)	c(97.5% = 4141)
51	11:47 AM	2096	c(2.5% = 1693)	c(97.5% = 2932)
52	11:47 AM	2574	c(2.5% = 2141)	c(97.5% = 3320)
53	11:47 AM	1862	c(2.5% = 1456)	c(97.5% = 2507)
54	11:47 AM	1357	c(2.5% = 1020)	c(97.5% = 1884)
55	11:47 AM	2164	c(2.5% = 1669)	c(97.5% = 2869)
56	11:47 AM	3141	c(2.5% = 2537)	c(97.5% = 3984)
57	11:47 AM	2706	c(2.5% = 2257)	c(97.5% = 3386)
58	11:47 AM	4550	c(2.5% = 3742)	c(97.5% = 5686)
59	11:47 AM	2242	c(2.5% = 1849)	c(97.5% = 2994)
60	11:47 AM	1790	c(2.5% = 1469)	c(97.5% = 2399)
61	11:47 AM	2753	c(2.5% = 2235)	c(97.5% = 3863)
62	11:47 AM	2022	c(2.5% = 1537)	c(97.5% = 2781)
63	11:47 AM	2571	c(2.5% = 2200)	c(97.5% = 3132)
64	11:47 AM	1466	c(2.5% = 1157)	c(97.5% = 1918)
65	11:47 AM	2122	c(2.5% = 1765)	c(97.5% = 2648)
66	11:47 AM	4501	c(2.5% = 3734)	c(97.5% = 5650)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
11:47 AM	0525	105
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions