Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:47 AM, 128 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 149,944 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 125,547 - 192,433). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:47 AM 2055 c(2.5% = 1787) c(97.5% = 2349)
02 11:47 AM 3317 c(2.5% = 3031) c(97.5% = 3987)
03 11:47 AM 1924 c(2.5% = 1554) c(97.5% = 2557)
04 11:47 AM 1931 c(2.5% = 1518) c(97.5% = 2681)
05 11:47 AM 4920 c(2.5% = 4549) c(97.5% = 5850)
06 11:47 AM 1295 c(2.5% = 1076) c(97.5% = 1725)
07 11:47 AM 1323 c(2.5% = 879) c(97.5% = 2309)
08 11:47 AM 4619 c(2.5% = 4247) c(97.5% = 5612)
09 11:47 AM 2224 c(2.5% = 1920) c(97.5% = 2610)
10 11:47 AM 2778 c(2.5% = 2284) c(97.5% = 3762)
11 11:47 AM 1230 c(2.5% = 949) c(97.5% = 1749)
12 11:47 AM 2106 c(2.5% = 1697) c(97.5% = 2887)
13 11:47 AM 1901 c(2.5% = 1506) c(97.5% = 2642)
14 11:47 AM 831 c(2.5% = 707) c(97.5% = 1080)
15 11:47 AM 2392 c(2.5% = 2183) c(97.5% = 2882)
16 11:47 AM 1034 c(2.5% = 781) c(97.5% = 1500)
17 11:47 AM 2320 c(2.5% = 1854) c(97.5% = 3189)
18 11:47 AM 1992 c(2.5% = 1826) c(97.5% = 2486)
19 11:47 AM 983 c(2.5% = 681) c(97.5% = 1610)
20 11:47 AM 961 c(2.5% = 746) c(97.5% = 1424)
21 11:47 AM 5417 c(2.5% = 4838) c(97.5% = 6648)
22 11:47 AM 2950 c(2.5% = 2544) c(97.5% = 3570)
23 11:47 AM 1786 c(2.5% = 1413) c(97.5% = 2430)
24 11:47 AM 1501 c(2.5% = 1250) c(97.5% = 2033)
25 11:47 AM 1483 c(2.5% = 1172) c(97.5% = 1943)
26 11:47 AM 2081 c(2.5% = 1813) c(97.5% = 2441)
27 11:47 AM 2690 c(2.5% = 2260) c(97.5% = 3720)
28 11:47 AM 1100 c(2.5% = 830) c(97.5% = 1602)
29 11:47 AM 1088 c(2.5% = 918) c(97.5% = 1423)
30 11:47 AM 2150 c(2.5% = 1975) c(97.5% = 2623)
31 11:47 AM 1825 c(2.5% = 1650) c(97.5% = 2139)
32 11:47 AM 1824 c(2.5% = 1398) c(97.5% = 2675)
33 11:47 AM 1546 c(2.5% = 1089) c(97.5% = 2522)
34 11:47 AM 3976 c(2.5% = 3337) c(97.5% = 5197)
35 11:47 AM 2719 c(2.5% = 2187) c(97.5% = 3753)
36 11:47 AM 3220 c(2.5% = 2736) c(97.5% = 4164)
37 11:47 AM 1179 c(2.5% = 885) c(97.5% = 1751)
38 11:47 AM 1992 c(2.5% = 1714) c(97.5% = 2527)
39 11:47 AM 3958 c(2.5% = 3533) c(97.5% = 4681)
40 11:47 AM 4146 c(2.5% = 3391) c(97.5% = 5722)
41 11:47 AM 1658 c(2.5% = 1279) c(97.5% = 2204)
42 11:47 AM 2103 c(2.5% = 1596) c(97.5% = 3173)
43 11:47 AM 1647 c(2.5% = 1188) c(97.5% = 2618)
44 11:47 AM 1299 c(2.5% = 1023) c(97.5% = 1799)
45 11:47 AM 1869 c(2.5% = 1494) c(97.5% = 2430)
46 11:47 AM 2461 c(2.5% = 2194) c(97.5% = 3050)
47 11:47 AM 783 c(2.5% = 645) c(97.5% = 1088)
48 11:47 AM 1852 c(2.5% = 1528) c(97.5% = 2478)
49 11:47 AM 2353 c(2.5% = 1872) c(97.5% = 3313)
50 11:47 AM 3235 c(2.5% = 2733) c(97.5% = 4141)
51 11:47 AM 2096 c(2.5% = 1693) c(97.5% = 2932)
52 11:47 AM 2574 c(2.5% = 2141) c(97.5% = 3320)
53 11:47 AM 1862 c(2.5% = 1456) c(97.5% = 2507)
54 11:47 AM 1357 c(2.5% = 1020) c(97.5% = 1884)
55 11:47 AM 2164 c(2.5% = 1669) c(97.5% = 2869)
56 11:47 AM 3141 c(2.5% = 2537) c(97.5% = 3984)
57 11:47 AM 2706 c(2.5% = 2257) c(97.5% = 3386)
58 11:47 AM 4550 c(2.5% = 3742) c(97.5% = 5686)
59 11:47 AM 2242 c(2.5% = 1849) c(97.5% = 2994)
60 11:47 AM 1790 c(2.5% = 1469) c(97.5% = 2399)
61 11:47 AM 2753 c(2.5% = 2235) c(97.5% = 3863)
62 11:47 AM 2022 c(2.5% = 1537) c(97.5% = 2781)
63 11:47 AM 2571 c(2.5% = 2200) c(97.5% = 3132)
64 11:47 AM 1466 c(2.5% = 1157) c(97.5% = 1918)
65 11:47 AM 2122 c(2.5% = 1765) c(97.5% = 2648)
66 11:47 AM 4501 c(2.5% = 3734) c(97.5% = 5650)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
11:47 AM 0525 105
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions