Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 11:47 AM, 128 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 149,944 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 125,547 - 192,433). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:47 AM | 2055 |
c(2.5% = 1787)
|
c(97.5% = 2349)
|
| 02 | 11:47 AM | 3317 |
c(2.5% = 3031)
|
c(97.5% = 3987)
|
| 03 | 11:47 AM | 1924 |
c(2.5% = 1554)
|
c(97.5% = 2557)
|
| 04 | 11:47 AM | 1931 |
c(2.5% = 1518)
|
c(97.5% = 2681)
|
| 05 | 11:47 AM | 4920 |
c(2.5% = 4549)
|
c(97.5% = 5850)
|
| 06 | 11:47 AM | 1295 |
c(2.5% = 1076)
|
c(97.5% = 1725)
|
| 07 | 11:47 AM | 1323 |
c(2.5% = 879)
|
c(97.5% = 2309)
|
| 08 | 11:47 AM | 4619 |
c(2.5% = 4247)
|
c(97.5% = 5612)
|
| 09 | 11:47 AM | 2224 |
c(2.5% = 1920)
|
c(97.5% = 2610)
|
| 10 | 11:47 AM | 2778 |
c(2.5% = 2284)
|
c(97.5% = 3762)
|
| 11 | 11:47 AM | 1230 |
c(2.5% = 949)
|
c(97.5% = 1749)
|
| 12 | 11:47 AM | 2106 |
c(2.5% = 1697)
|
c(97.5% = 2887)
|
| 13 | 11:47 AM | 1901 |
c(2.5% = 1506)
|
c(97.5% = 2642)
|
| 14 | 11:47 AM | 831 |
c(2.5% = 707)
|
c(97.5% = 1080)
|
| 15 | 11:47 AM | 2392 |
c(2.5% = 2183)
|
c(97.5% = 2882)
|
| 16 | 11:47 AM | 1034 |
c(2.5% = 781)
|
c(97.5% = 1500)
|
| 17 | 11:47 AM | 2320 |
c(2.5% = 1854)
|
c(97.5% = 3189)
|
| 18 | 11:47 AM | 1992 |
c(2.5% = 1826)
|
c(97.5% = 2486)
|
| 19 | 11:47 AM | 983 |
c(2.5% = 681)
|
c(97.5% = 1610)
|
| 20 | 11:47 AM | 961 |
c(2.5% = 746)
|
c(97.5% = 1424)
|
| 21 | 11:47 AM | 5417 |
c(2.5% = 4838)
|
c(97.5% = 6648)
|
| 22 | 11:47 AM | 2950 |
c(2.5% = 2544)
|
c(97.5% = 3570)
|
| 23 | 11:47 AM | 1786 |
c(2.5% = 1413)
|
c(97.5% = 2430)
|
| 24 | 11:47 AM | 1501 |
c(2.5% = 1250)
|
c(97.5% = 2033)
|
| 25 | 11:47 AM | 1483 |
c(2.5% = 1172)
|
c(97.5% = 1943)
|
| 26 | 11:47 AM | 2081 |
c(2.5% = 1813)
|
c(97.5% = 2441)
|
| 27 | 11:47 AM | 2690 |
c(2.5% = 2260)
|
c(97.5% = 3720)
|
| 28 | 11:47 AM | 1100 |
c(2.5% = 830)
|
c(97.5% = 1602)
|
| 29 | 11:47 AM | 1088 |
c(2.5% = 918)
|
c(97.5% = 1423)
|
| 30 | 11:47 AM | 2150 |
c(2.5% = 1975)
|
c(97.5% = 2623)
|
| 31 | 11:47 AM | 1825 |
c(2.5% = 1650)
|
c(97.5% = 2139)
|
| 32 | 11:47 AM | 1824 |
c(2.5% = 1398)
|
c(97.5% = 2675)
|
| 33 | 11:47 AM | 1546 |
c(2.5% = 1089)
|
c(97.5% = 2522)
|
| 34 | 11:47 AM | 3976 |
c(2.5% = 3337)
|
c(97.5% = 5197)
|
| 35 | 11:47 AM | 2719 |
c(2.5% = 2187)
|
c(97.5% = 3753)
|
| 36 | 11:47 AM | 3220 |
c(2.5% = 2736)
|
c(97.5% = 4164)
|
| 37 | 11:47 AM | 1179 |
c(2.5% = 885)
|
c(97.5% = 1751)
|
| 38 | 11:47 AM | 1992 |
c(2.5% = 1714)
|
c(97.5% = 2527)
|
| 39 | 11:47 AM | 3958 |
c(2.5% = 3533)
|
c(97.5% = 4681)
|
| 40 | 11:47 AM | 4146 |
c(2.5% = 3391)
|
c(97.5% = 5722)
|
| 41 | 11:47 AM | 1658 |
c(2.5% = 1279)
|
c(97.5% = 2204)
|
| 42 | 11:47 AM | 2103 |
c(2.5% = 1596)
|
c(97.5% = 3173)
|
| 43 | 11:47 AM | 1647 |
c(2.5% = 1188)
|
c(97.5% = 2618)
|
| 44 | 11:47 AM | 1299 |
c(2.5% = 1023)
|
c(97.5% = 1799)
|
| 45 | 11:47 AM | 1869 |
c(2.5% = 1494)
|
c(97.5% = 2430)
|
| 46 | 11:47 AM | 2461 |
c(2.5% = 2194)
|
c(97.5% = 3050)
|
| 47 | 11:47 AM | 783 |
c(2.5% = 645)
|
c(97.5% = 1088)
|
| 48 | 11:47 AM | 1852 |
c(2.5% = 1528)
|
c(97.5% = 2478)
|
| 49 | 11:47 AM | 2353 |
c(2.5% = 1872)
|
c(97.5% = 3313)
|
| 50 | 11:47 AM | 3235 |
c(2.5% = 2733)
|
c(97.5% = 4141)
|
| 51 | 11:47 AM | 2096 |
c(2.5% = 1693)
|
c(97.5% = 2932)
|
| 52 | 11:47 AM | 2574 |
c(2.5% = 2141)
|
c(97.5% = 3320)
|
| 53 | 11:47 AM | 1862 |
c(2.5% = 1456)
|
c(97.5% = 2507)
|
| 54 | 11:47 AM | 1357 |
c(2.5% = 1020)
|
c(97.5% = 1884)
|
| 55 | 11:47 AM | 2164 |
c(2.5% = 1669)
|
c(97.5% = 2869)
|
| 56 | 11:47 AM | 3141 |
c(2.5% = 2537)
|
c(97.5% = 3984)
|
| 57 | 11:47 AM | 2706 |
c(2.5% = 2257)
|
c(97.5% = 3386)
|
| 58 | 11:47 AM | 4550 |
c(2.5% = 3742)
|
c(97.5% = 5686)
|
| 59 | 11:47 AM | 2242 |
c(2.5% = 1849)
|
c(97.5% = 2994)
|
| 60 | 11:47 AM | 1790 |
c(2.5% = 1469)
|
c(97.5% = 2399)
|
| 61 | 11:47 AM | 2753 |
c(2.5% = 2235)
|
c(97.5% = 3863)
|
| 62 | 11:47 AM | 2022 |
c(2.5% = 1537)
|
c(97.5% = 2781)
|
| 63 | 11:47 AM | 2571 |
c(2.5% = 2200)
|
c(97.5% = 3132)
|
| 64 | 11:47 AM | 1466 |
c(2.5% = 1157)
|
c(97.5% = 1918)
|
| 65 | 11:47 AM | 2122 |
c(2.5% = 1765)
|
c(97.5% = 2648)
|
| 66 | 11:47 AM | 4501 |
c(2.5% = 3734)
|
c(97.5% = 5650)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 11:47 AM | 0525 | 105 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions